oddsmaking

Can Political Betting Markets Predict Election Outcomes?

Note: This was originally published in Adam Keesling’s Napkin Math newsletter, which you can find here. Welp, it’s a nail-biter. Yet again, despite the predictions of polls and pundits, there was no blue wave and no clear landslide victory last night, and there’s not likely to be a clear winner for days. Why are we …

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